Punt to Win |
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20/12/2002 edition Brisbane Bookmakers It's now official. Brisbane bookmakers are now offering very tight betting odds just like their Adelaide counterparts. Maybe governments could legislate to prevent bookmakers from offering starting price odds at Saturday meetings like the markets in the tables below? Have a look at the starting prices for some of the races from Eagle Farm last Saturday.
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Betting into markets like that is why you cannot just give a bookmaker a top fluctuation or starting price bet unless you are also able to give minimum odds with your bet. If the bookmaker tells you he is doing you a favour by giving you top fluctuation or starting price then point out that is a poor bet without being able to give minimum odds that you see as value with your bet. You could offer a compromise, like I have done, and tell the bookie you will place the bet without minimum odds provided the price is appropriately adjusted to a market of 110%. If you do not give minimum value odds when you bet into markets of 140% you will be battling to break anywhere near even over the long term. A market of 140% is equivalent to being offered $1.43 about the toss of a coin when break even odds are $2.00. Or taking $2.00 about any of the traditional even money roulette bets like odds/evens/red or black. But with one slight difference - instead of there being just one zero on the wheel, there are now 16 zeros on the wheel. That's what you are up against in betting markets set to 140%. It's like playing roulette with 16 zeros on the wheel. This edition of Punt to Win: Back Tote Longshots?
You Need Top Odds It
is just about impossible to get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and the poor value tote horses to make up for
the big unders on the tote. Short
priced tote favourites Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved. |
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Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk. |