20/6/2015 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Rosehill and Doomben for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 30th. May, 2015.

Rosehill: Track Soft.

R1 $85,000 2YO. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1350 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Press Statement
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctuation: $2.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.70
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: Chris Waller

R2 $85,000 Fillies & Mares. Rating 76. Handicap.
Distance: 1900 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Royal Adventure
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.70
Jockey: James Innes Jnr.
Trainer: Matthew Smith
Winner: Missvonn
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $4.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.20
Jockey: Jason Collett
Trainer: Joseph Pride

Doomben: Track Good.

R4 $250,000 Eagle Farm Cup. Group 2. Weight for Age.
Distance: 2200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Moriarty
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.80
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Werther
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $4.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.90
Jockey: Jim Byrne
Trainer: Andrew R. Campbell

This edition of Punt to Win:
Everything you need to know about horse racing betting systems
The Free Let's Win First Up Over 1400 Metres horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Stradbroke Handicap & Queensland Derby - 6/6/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Queensland Oaks & Doomben 10,000 - 30/5/2015 & 23/5/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 13/6/2015 & 6/6/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 30/5/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 23/5/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 23/5/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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