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Punt to Win |
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19/11/2011 edition Melbourne Cup and Victoria Derby Day There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about
favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring
favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and
Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race. When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on. Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse racing fields on Tuesday, 1st. November, 2011. Red Cadeaux was trained by Ed Dunlop and ridden by top local hoop Michael Rodd. Red Cadeaux started at $31.00. Eagle Farm: Track Slow R1, Dead R2 - R8. R1 $13,000 Fillies & Mares. Class 3. Handicap. R8 $13,000 Colts, Geldings & Entires. Class 3. Handicap. Here is the result for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 29th. October, 2011. On this day the $1.5 million Group 1 Victoria Derby was held at Flemington horse racing track. The Derby was won by 3YO gelding Sangster which was steady in the bookmaker betting ring at $13.00. Best tote odds was $15.20. Sangster was trained by Trent Busuttin and ridden by Hugh Bowman. Beaten a head in the Derby was 3YO gelding Induna, trained by Peter Snowden and ridden by Kerrin McEvoy. Induna started second favourite at $5.50. The Derby is not a race for favourites. 3YO gelding Manawanui firmed from $2.60 to start at the short odds of $2.50. It finished sixth, more than three lengths from the winner. Manawanui was trained by Ron Leemon and ridden by Glyn Schofield. The traditional Melbourne Cup lead up race, the $1,000,000 Group 1 Weight for Age Mackinnon Stakes, was also held at Flemington this day. The winner was 6YO entire, Glass Harmonium, which started at $7.00. Glass Harmonium was was trained by Michael Moroney and ridden by Damien Oliver. Rosehill: Track Dead. R1 $70,000 2YO. Open. Handicap. This edition of Punt to Win: You Need Top Odds It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays. It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites. Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved. |
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| Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk. | |||