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Punt to Win |
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Caulfield The midweek meeting held at Caulfield Wednesday this week was a horrible betting meeting. Most punters got wiped out. There were two 900 metres Listed races for two year olds, each worth $75,000. The first of the two, a nine horse race for colts and geldings had seven first starters and was won by Undenied who paid $19.00. The fillies race had 15 runners, with 14 of them first starters. Brief Embrace who paid $10.80 won the race, though Queensland tote punters took a nonsensical $6.40. (More about that on a following page). We followed up with a $40,000 three year old restricted race over 1600 metres. Only 12 runners in the field, but it was wide open. Mr. Trickster $16.10 won. Next came a typically difficult betting race, a 1600 metres Spring Country Cup worth $60,000. 13 runners, inconsistent form and it was no surprise when punters got it badly wrong and Small Spoils $31.90 ridden by Andrew Findlay won. It was the six year old gelding's seventh win from 43 starts. Next came the main "attraction" of the day, the $500,000 Group 1 Thousand Guineas over 1600 metres for three year old fillies. It was an open race. While a few fillies clearly looked superior, there were plenty of strong form lines for just about every filly in the race. Ha Ha, trained by Gai Waterhouse and ridden by Jim Cassidy, had barrier 14, the widest in the field. That didn't stop punters sending her out as $3.00 favourite, way under the odds. She finished second. Magical Miss won at $15.50. Next race on the menu was a very ordinary 1600 metres Mares Open, with 15 runners and worth $40,000. Not surprisingly another wipeout when Piper Star won at $17.50. Race seven on the smorgasbord of punting delights was a restricted welter over 1200 metres, also worth $40,000. Punters finally got a few crumbs back when Prince Rubiton won starting at the short odds of $2.80 in this big 16 horse field. The eighth race of the day, dessert for the bookies, was a very ordinary restricted handicap over 2000 metres, also worth $40,000. Punters who backed the $5.00 favourite Mr. Lofty lost their money when the four year old gelding fell. The A Train who started at $8.00 won. He may have provided relief for some punters who supported him because Damien Oliver had the ride. When meetings are very tough, when races are absolute raffles, there is no point taking up the challenge. Odds are stacked against all punters. The smart course of action is to leave everything alone. If you must have a bet, then bet very, very small and avoid short odds about every horse, no matter how much money comes for them. Next
pages Warning It is just about impossible
to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
to make up for the big unders on the tote.
Back Tote Longshots?
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