18/9/2010 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Saturday, 4th. September, 2010.
On this day the $400,000 Group 2 Weight for Age Makybe Diva Stakes, run over 1600 metres, was held at Flemington horse racing track.

Randwick: Track Slow.

R1 $70,000 3YO & UP. Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Pay And Play
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Brenton Avdulla
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Portos
Starting price: $4.00
Top fluctuation: $4.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.10
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Bill Prain

R3 $70,000 3YO & UP. Rating 85. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Reprobate
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.05
Jockey: Joshua Parr
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Gathering
Starting price: $14.00
Top fluctuation: $14.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $11.60
Jockey: Josh Adams
Trainer: John P. Thompson

R8 $70,000 3YO & UP. Rating 90. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Tromso
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $3.o0
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Bay Windows
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $8.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.70
Jockey: Corey Brown
Trainer: Gwenda Markwell

Eagle Farm: Track Good.

R1 $45,000 1MW. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Seqsational
Result: 4th.
Starting price: $3.50
Jockey: Chris McIver
Trainer: Liam Birchley
Winner: Craiglea Falcon
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $10.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $14.00
Jockey: Jason Kropp
Trainer: Peter Fleming

R2 $50,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Equal Favourite: Fulmonti
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Justin Wood
Trainer: Chris Jordan
Equal Favourite: Frozone
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Glen Colless
Trainer: Alan Bailey
Winner: Yield Curve
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $10.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $11.40
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Kath Carroll

Morphettville: Track Heavy.

R2 $32,000 3YO. Rating 75. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Meezaah
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $2.10
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: David Hayes
Winner: Belfast Boy
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $20.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.70
Jockey: Michael Hoppo
Trainer: Gordon Richards

R3 $32,000 3YO. Rating 75. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Addiction To Rock
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.70
Top fluctuation: $1.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.80
Jockey: Jordan Frew
Trainer: Mark Minervini

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting horse racing tips everyone "Knows Will Win"
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Three Lengths horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 11/9/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 4/9/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 28/8/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 28/8/2010
Punt to Win index

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