18/8/2012 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 4th. August, 2012.

Canterbury: Track Dead R1 - R5, Good R6 - R8.

R1 $85,000 3YO. Rating 68. Handicap.
Distance: 1550 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Rumpaging
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.50
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Soapy Star
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $8.70
Jockey: Christian Reith
Trainer: Kris Lees

Moonee Valley: Track Slow R1 - R4, Dead R5 - R8.

R1 $80,000 3YO. Rating 72. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: King's Pardon
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $2.30
Jockey: Craig Newitt
Trainer: Mick Price
Winner: Rusambo
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $6.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.60
Jockey: Vlad Duric
Trainer: Peter Snowden

Doomben: Track Good.

R2 $50,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Topping
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.70
Top fluctuation: $1.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.70
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Tony Gollan

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 28th. July, 2012.

Warwick Farm: Track Slow R1 - R2, Dead R3 - R8.

R1 $85,000 3YO. Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Havana Rey
Result:1st.
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.80
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: Bjorn Baker

R2 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 85. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Sour Mash
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Corey Brown
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Brave The Way
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $6.50
Jockey: Peter Robl
Trainer: Anthony Cummings

Caulfield: Track Slow R1- R6, Heavy R7 - R8.

R1 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Volando
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $3.40
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
Winner: Lyonell
Starting price: $51.00
Top fluctuation: $51.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $45.20
Jockey: Anthony Darmanin
Trainer: Gary Mallinson

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting strategy tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Average Prize Money free horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 11/8/2012
Betting favourites in small fields: 4/8/2012 & 28/7/2012
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 28/7/2012
Punt to Win index

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