18/8/2012 edition

Horse Racing Betting and Wagering Tips

1. Big last start winners - watch the odds

Horses that win by three lengths or more have a big plus. The handicapper cannot increase their weight at their next start by enough to completely nullify the three lengths' winning margin.

There is also a big negative. All punters can see the large winning margin. As a result many of these horses are sent around well under the odds they should be at their next start.

However if you do your homework you can still back some pretty good winners at their next starts from this group of horses. In particular look for lightly raced horses rising in class and dropping in weight.

But stay clear if the odds are very short. Because you can then guarantee the media and every punter has taken note of the horse's last start win and it is now being sent around under the odds. Betting on these horses will then be a long term losing proposition.

2. Bet on horses that make their own luck

With the racing patterns in Australia it should be pretty clear if you want to maximise your chances of winning money you must:

1. Concentrate on betting horses that lead or race on the speed.

2. Penalise most run on horses.

3. If you back run on horses then you must take longer odds about them than for the on pace horses.

The following is a typical excuse used for a run on horse that just failed to win after running on hard:

"I thought its run was unbelievable. I have no doubt it was the best horse in the race. But the pace steadied during the middle stages which made things hard for us."

If the horse had raced on the speed that would of course not be an issue.

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This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting strategy tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Average Prize Money free horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 11/8/2012
Betting favourites in small fields: 4/8/2012 & 28/7/2012
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 28/7/2012
Punt to Win index

2011 Melbourne Cup Day
Winners under $10.00
Best Bookmaker Win Odds
Best Tote Odds

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