18/2/2005 edition

Caulfield Betting Shocks

1. Biased track - leaders disadvantaged

Since Caulfield's racetrack manager left for Flemington a few years ago, the Flemington racetrack has improved out of sight.

That cannot be said for Caulfield. Flemington's gain has been Caulfield's loss.

With a meeting featuring two Blue Diamond Preludes and the Group 1 Weight for Age C. F. Orr Stakes, with a star studded field including Melbourne Cup winners and Cox Plate winners, you'd think a fair racing surface would be provided.

Unfortunately not. Horses leading on the rails were at a severe disadvantage. Not one horse was able to lead and win.

2. Blue Diamond shocks

The 2YO fillies Blue Diamond Prelude was expected to be a match race between Queen Of The Hill and Langness.

After all, the Lee Freedman trained Queen Of The Hill had been sensationally impressive at her only start and win two weeks earlier at Flemington. While the Tony McEvoy trained Langness had been sensationally denied a brilliant win at Caulfield in her only start when a "no race" was decalred.

So in the field of 14, Queen Of The Hill and Langness were sent out equal $2.80 favourites. They both finished down the track, 12th. and 13th.

The winner, Doubting, trained by Mich Price at Caulfield, was coming off a soft 2YO fillies maiden win at Bendigo. The runner up, Amarazetti, had won a 2YO fillies race at Caulfield four weeks earlier.

It's often said 2YO races are good betting races. Nothing can be further from the truth. When you have fields full of lightly raced horses or horses without any race starts anything can and often does happen. Just like on Saturday.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Caulfield - track bias, Blue Diamond betting upset
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Betting tips from the track - Randwick and Caulfield
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 11/2/2005
Punt to Win index

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