17/12/2005 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 10th. December.

Rosehill: Track Good

R1 $60,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1500 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Doubloon
Result: fourth
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.80
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: John Hawkes
Winner: Wonderer
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.90
Jockey: Lenny Beasley
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

Sandown Lakeside: Track Good

R1 $45,000 2YO. Open. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Churchill Downs
Result: first
Starting price: $1.75
Top fluctuation: $1.75
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.30
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: David Hayes

R2 $45,000 3YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Diamond Masque
Result: fifth
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
Jockey: Ben Melham
Trainer: Pat Hyland
Winner: Be Delicious
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.80
Jockey: Steven Arnold
Trainer: Danny O'Brien

R4 $45,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Readyforcatherine
Result: second
Starting price: $1.55
Top fluctuation: $1.55
Jockey: Ben Melham
Trainer: Lee Freedman
Winner: Sea Chain
Starting price: $15.00
Top fluctuation: $15.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $16.80
Jockey: Nicholas Ryan
Trainer: Cliff Brown

Doomben: Track Good

R1 $50,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1110 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Diamonds Am I
Result: first
Starting price: $2.10
Top fluctuation: $2.10
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.90
Jockey: Michael Cahill
Trainer: Kelly Schweida

Cheltenham: Track Good

R1 $15,000 3YO Fillies. Class 2. Handicap.
Distance: 1350 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Exclusive Reign
Result: third
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.00
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: David Hayes
Winner: Threeofakind
Starting price: $7.00
Top fluctuation: $8.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $8.70
Jockey: Dominic Tourneur
Trainer: Shane Oxlade

R2 $20,000 3YO and upward. Rs1ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Nikalapko
Result: second
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.00
Jockey: Peter Roff
Trainer: Jeremy Gask
Winner: Teerex
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $10.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $8.00
Jockey: Ben Hoppo
Trainer: Barry Dunn

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting tips for Melbourne horse racing
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill and Sandown Lakeside
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 10/12/2005
Punt to Win index

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