Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software
Win at racing

 

 

17/9/2004 edition

Rosehill Horse Racing Track
Betting Tips from the Track
Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or otherwise it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include as an example the the SuperTab tote dividend. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Rosehill, Saturday, 11th. September, 2004

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm SuperTab
Tote
Finish Beaten/winning margin
Dance The Waves
2.30
1.85
6.57%
-
2/9
head
Danny Beasley (jockey)
Grahame Begg (trainer)
Ocho
10.00
6.50
5.38%
-
10/10
4.3 lengths
Darren Beadman
John Hawkes
Besame Mucho
3.20
2.70
5.79%
2.40
1/13
2.8 lengths
Darren Beadman
Bart Cummings
Diurnal
8.00
5.00
7.50%
-
9/14
2 lengths
Rod Quinn
John Hawkes
Moonee Valley, Saturday, 11th. September, 2004

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm SuperTab
Tote
Finish Beaten/winning margin
Red Dragon
9.00
5.00
8.89%
-
10/14
5 lengths
Stephen Baster (jockey)
Mick Price (trainer)
 

You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Horse racing forum | Advertise

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.