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17/1/2003 edition

Betting Tips

Should 8YOs be backed first up?

Last Saturday at Caulfield, in the Group 3 Weight for Age Rubiton Stakes, run over 1100 metres, 8YO gelding Fritz resumed from a break of nearly three months.

Tipsters and punters were confident, because the gelding had always raced well fresh and had an excellent first up record of four wins and a second from five starts. The gelding was sent out at the short odds of $4.20.

Fritz flopped badly and finished last of the seven runners, five lengths from the winner Super Elegant.

As horses get older they are less likely to run well fresh. Fritz was a huge risk first up. Many 8YOs are not even spelled in case they lose form, never to regain it when they come back to racing. Their trainers just keep racing them with brief freshen ups.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Hasna - worst bet of the year
Should 8YOs be backed first up?
Quality horses that regain form
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Caulfield betting tips from the track
Money talks - Gold Coast Magic Millions betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 10/1/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Hand Pass 21.10 27.60 $650
In The Gidgee 15.00 19.90 $490
Charmview 14.10 17.10 $300


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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