16/8/2014 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 26th. July, 2014.

Randwick Kensington Track: Track Dead.

R1 $85,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1150 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Inkling
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.65
Top fluctuation: $1.65
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.60
Jockey: Joshua Parr
Trainer: Peter & Paul Snowden

R3 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 85. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Saigon Tea
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.05
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Oriental Lady
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.20
Jockey: Brenton Avdulla
Trainer: Kris Lees

R4 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 92. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Laidback Larry
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Reigning
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.40
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: Chris Waller

R6 $85,000 3YO & UP. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1150 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Casual Choice
Result: 4th.
Starting price: $1.90
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Joseph Pride
Winner: Hurrara
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $14.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $10.50
Jockey: Claire Nutman
Trainer: Garry Frazer

Doomben: Track Dead R1, Good R2 - R8.

R2 $50,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Discreet
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.90
Jockey: Anthony Allen
Trainer: Kelly Schweida

This edition of Punt to Win:
Understanding horse racing markets & betting odds
The Free True Favourite horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 9/8/2014 & 2/8/2014
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 26/7/2014
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 26/7/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.