16/8/2002 edition

Cox Plate
All In Betting

Here are some odds available about horses winning the Cox Plate, to be run at Moonee Valley racetrack on the last Saturday of October. After the odds we give the market percentage for those odds.

Lonhro $4.00 25%
Northerly $5.50 18.18%
Sunline $5.50 18.18%
Carnegie Express $11.00 9.09%
Eishin Preston(Usa) $11.00 9.09%
Defier $15.00 6.67%
Universal Prince $15.00 6.67%
Republic Lass $17.00 5.88%
Don Eduardo $21.00 4.76%
Shogun Lodge $21.00 4.76%
Thorn Park $21.00 4.76%
Victory Vein $21.00 4.76%
Dash for Cash $26.00 3.85%
Distinctly Secret $26.00 3.85%
Grandera(Ire) $26.00 3.85%
Assertive Lad $34.00 2.94%
De Gaulle Lane $34.00 2.94%
Magical Miss $34.00 2.94%
Noverre(Usa) $34.00 2.94%

The many horses at longer odds have not been given here.

Just the quoted horses above make over 140%. Yet the true odds for a winner in the race is 100%. No less. No more.

So much can go wrong with a horse between now and the end of October. If your horse doesn't run in the Cox Plate for any reason, 100% of your bet is lost.

Let's face it. The majority of horses on offer will not even make the final field. Money bet on those horses has been thrown away. As for Lonhro, Northerly and Sunline. Should everything go well with them over the next three months, there is every possibility you may get better odds about them on raceday. That's without having your money tied up for three months and being on a hiding to nothing should anything go amiss with the horse.

Surely you need to know at least the track conditions, the final field and form of the runners before making an informed bet.

We strongly suggest leaving this form betting alone.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Fields Of Omagh - high strike rate winner
Cox Plate all in betting
Carnival horses - betting odds, betting odds
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Place betting staking plan
Money talks - Randwick plunge horses
Money talks - Sandown plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 9/8/2002
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?

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