Punt to Win

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16/5/2003 edition

Moonee Valley Horseracing Track
Betting Tips from the Track
Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or silly it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include the worst tote price available. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Moonee Valley, Saturday, 10th. May 2003

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Tote Finish Beaten/winning margin
 
You're The Top
8.00
5.50
5.68%
-
8/12
4.3 lengths
Rowan Waymouth
Rick Hore-Lacy
 
Identifiable
5.00
3.90
5.64%
-
2/10
neck
Matthew Neilson
Ken Sweeney
 
Shirley's Luvena
8.00
5.00
7.50%
-
12/13
5.3 lengths
David Pires
Pat Hyland
 

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betfair betting exchange braces for a fight
Gold Coast bookmaker betting odds
It can't win because of the barrier - it's a betting myth
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Gold Coast betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 9/5/2003
Punt to Win index


Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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