16/5/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, May 10.

Moonee Valley:
R1 $40,000 steeple race
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Striding Edge
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 0.8 lengths
Starting price: $3.10
Top fluctation: $3.10
Tote dividends' range: $2.70 - $2.80
Jockey: Nathan Dunn
Trainer: Paul Preusker

Morphettville:
R2 $50,000 race
Number of runners: six
Favourite: On Focus
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 1.3 lengths
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctation: $2.40
Tote dividends' range: $2.10 - $2.40
Jockey: Joe Bowditch
Trainer: Craig Curtis

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betfair betting exchange braces for a fight
Gold Coast bookmaker betting odds
It can't win because of the barrier - it's a betting myth
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Gold Coast betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 9/5/2003
Punt to Win index

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