16/3/2013 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 2nd. March, 2013.

Flemington: Australian Guineas Day - Track Good.

R1 $120,000 2YO. Listed. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Indulgence
Result: 7th.
Starting price: $3.40
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Anthony Freedman
Winner: Excitable Boy
Starting price: $7.00
Top fluctuation: $9.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.00
Jockey: Noel Callow
Trainer: Danny O'Brien

R2 $100,000 Open Handicap.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Keep Cool
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: Danny O'Brien

R4 $150,000 Francis Tressady Stakes. 3YO & UP. Fillies & Mares. Group 3. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: There's Only One
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $2.90
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
Winner: Tavarnelle
Starting price: $12.00
Top fluctuation: $17.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $14.20
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes

Rosehill: Track Heavy.

R1 $85,000 3YO & UP. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1500 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Bello
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.10
Top fluctuation: $3.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.20
Jockey: Joshua Parr
Trainer: Peter Snowden

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing handicapping made easy
The Free High Winning Strike Rate horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 9/3/2013
Group 1 horse racing results: 2/3/2013
Group 1 horse racing results: 23/2/2013
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 9/3/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 2/3/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 23/2/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 23/2/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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