15/11/2014 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Victoria Derby Day, Saturday, 1st. November, 2014.

Rosehill: Track Good.

R1 $85,000 2YO. Open. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Exosphere
Result: 7th.
Starting price: $1.65
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: John O'Shea
Winner: Single Gaze
Starting price: $81.00
Top fluctuation: $81.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $49.20
Jockey: Kathy O'Hara
Trainer: Nick Olive

R2 $85,000 3YO. Rating 71. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Mohave
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctuation: $1.90
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.80
Jockey: Winona Costin
Trainer: John O'Shea

R3 $85,000 3YO & UP. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Our Boy Malachi
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctuation: $1.90
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.80
Jockey: Jay Ford
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes

Doomben: Track Good.

R3 $65,000 Rating 75. Handicap.
Distance: 1050 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Natural Dancer
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.10
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.30
Jockey: Kim Craft
Trainer: Eddie Wilkinson

R4 $65,000 Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1640 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Lucky Black
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $2.30
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Barry A. Mitchell
Winner: Vaz De Torres
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.10
Jockey: Jim Byrne
Trainer: Robert Heathcote

This edition of Punt to Win:
Race caller betting tips and form analysis
The Free Let's Win Second Up horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Cantala Stakes Day - 8/11/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: VRC Oaks Day - 6/11/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: Melbourne Cup Day - 4/11/2014
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 8/11/2014
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 1/11/2014
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
2014 Melbourne Cup Punt to Win 8/11/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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