Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software
Win at racing

 

 

15/10/2005 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 8th. October.

Rosehill: Track Good

R1 $60,000 Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Retail Therapy

Result: first
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $3.10
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.10
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: John Hawkes

R2 $60,000 3YO and upward. Class 6. Set weights.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Bentley Biscuit
Result: first

Starting price: $1.26
Top fluctuation: $1.26
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.20
Jockey: Danny Langridge
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse


Eagle Farm: Track Good

R1 $50,000 Rs1mw. Handicap.
Distance: 2200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Minoa
Result: third
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $2.90
Jockey: Glen Colless
Trainer: John Morrisey
Winner: Managed Fund
Starting price: $14.00
Top fluctuation: $14.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $27.20
Jockey: Scott Galloway
Trainer: John Lundholm

R4 $40,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Hissy Fit
Result: second
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctuation: $3.50
Jockey: Todd Pannell
Trainer: John Hawkes
Winner: Mythological
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.70
Jockey: Scott Galloway
Trainer: John Hawkes


Cheltenham: Track Slow

R2 $20,000 3YO and upward. Rs1mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1250 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Rosden
Result: fourth
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctuation: $3.50
Jockey: Adrian Patterson
Trainer: Roslyn Day
Winner: Arondan
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $10.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $9.80
Jockey: Scott Leckey
Trainer: Mark Minervini

R3 $26,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Lady Of The Desert
Result: second
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.60
Jockey: Troy Baker
Trainer: Phillip Stokes
Winner: Chickaloo
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $4.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.50
Jockey: Dominic Tourneur
Trainer: Darryl Carrison

This edition of Punt to Win:
Caulfield Cup Carnival betting odds
1000 metres sprint horse racing
Get those betting odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill and Caulfield
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 8/10/2005
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Horse racing forum | Advertise

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.