Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software
Win at racing

Betting systems software

Racing tips and info
Betting links
Other info

 

 

13/9/2008 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Saturday, 30th. August.

Caulfield: Track Good

R1 $60,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Sparkling Satine
Result: second
Starting price: $2.80
Jockey: James Winks
Trainer: Danny O'Brien
Winner: Cocoa Tycoon
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.30
Jockey: Vlad Duric
Trainer: Paul A. Jones

Doomben: Track Dead

R1 $45,000 Rs2mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1350 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Gunsari
Result: fourth
Starting price: $1.80
Jockey: Bobby El-Issa
Trainer: Alicia Willick
Winner: Felixtrinidad
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.40
Jockey: Shane Scriven
Trainer: Stephen Lee

R2 $50,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1350 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Woorim
Result: third
Starting price: $2.40
Jockey: Shane Scriven
Trainer: Robert Heathcote
Winner: Chilled
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.70
Jockey: Bobby El-Issa
Trainer: Maryann Thexton

Cheltenham: Track Dead

R4 $25,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1250 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Dollops
Result: first
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $2.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.00
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: David Jolly

This edition of Punt to Win:
Should I have a wager in that race?
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Get those betting odds
The Second Up horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small field: 6/9/2008
Betting favourites in small field: 30/8/2008
Betting favourites in small field: 23/8/2008
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track: 6/9/2008 & 30/8/2008
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track: 23/8/2008
 Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
 Punt to Win 23/8/2008
Punt to Win index

You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.

Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.
 

Home | Contact us | Horse racing forum | Advertise

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.