Punt to Win

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12/9/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, September 6.

Randwick:
Terracotta Bay - badly held in the straight, should have won
November Dreaming - held up in the straight
Boreale - held up and shuffled back in the straight
Clangalang - held up in the straight
Platinum Scissors - held up early in the straight

Flemington:
Slice Of Paradise - held up at the 400
Carlton Spirit - knuckled on jumping away
Crown Princess - held up in the straight
Danish Peak - no run last 400
Dorky - badly held up in the straight
Face Value - checked off heels at the 200
Pentastic - held up in the straight
Natural Blitz - badly held up and shuffled back in the straight
Mummify - held up in the straight
Arena Valdora - held up early in the straight
Grey Song - badly held up in the straight, no luck
Another Warrior - wide run
Converge - badly held up in the straight, should have won
Mr. American Gothic - held up early in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Longshot betting tips
Betting tips - new trainers, John Hawkes, Gai Waterhouse
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Flemington betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 5/9/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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