12/1/2013 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 5th. January, 2013.

Warwick Farm: Track Good.

R1 $85,000 3YO. Rating 74. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Stand Strong
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $1.80
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: That's A Good Idea
Starting price: $9.50
Top fluctuation: $9.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $14.20
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: Mark de Montfort

Caulfield: Track Good.

R1 $80,000 3YO. Fillies. Rating 72. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Hazard
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Anthony Freedman

R2 $150,000 VOBIS Gold Carat. 2YO. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Diamond Glow
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctuation: $2.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.20
Jockey: Vlad Duric
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

R4 $80,000 Rating 82. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Khalifa
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.25
Top fluctuation: $2.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.20
Jockey: Michael Rodd
Trainer: Mark Kavanagh

Eagle Farm: Track Good.

R2 $45,000 Rating 75. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Revitalise
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Maija Vance
Trainer: David Murphy
Winner: Power Of Ed
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.00
Jockey: Jim Byrne
Trainer: Helen Page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting tips - wagering backmarkers
The Free Horse Racing Tipster horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 5/1/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 29/12/2012
Betting favourites in small fields: 22/12/2012
Betting favourites in small fields: 15/12/2012
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 31/12/2012
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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