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Punt to Win |
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11/10/2002 edition Handicapping Tips We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum." Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class. By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 69kg. (70 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition. The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more fared last Saturday. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.
There were two horses at Doomben that had apprentice claims to reduce
their weights to below 59kg. When listing horses with 59kg. or above we are concentrating on handicaps. There were two set weights with penalties races at Flemington which used a high weight scale. The Group 3 Baguette Stakes run over 1200 metres had five runners handicapped at 60.5kg. and another two at 59kg. The race was won by Cosmic Strike, who was backed in from $31.00 to start at $17.00. Cosmic Strike carried the lowest weight in the race - 54kg. The Group 2 Turnbull Stakes run over 2000 metres had six runners handicapped at 59kg. Northerly, one of the top weights, won the race firming a touch from $3.00 to $2.90. This edition of Punt to Win:
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