Punt to Win

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11/10/2002 edition

Good Betting Advice?

Last Saturday as the horses were entering the barriers for the fourth race of the day at Cheltenham, racecaller Hilton Donaldson told us the following:

"We race at Port Lincoln tomorrow... A Good track at this stage... There's 75 starters in total in those seven races tomorrow and only four have raced within the last month. So there could be some value punters as most of these horses resume."

How correct was that betting advice? Where's the value betting on low class horses with entire fields resuming from a spell in tote markets of 120%? Where winners come from left field? Where form is often pretty much useless?

This edition of Punt to Win:
Defier - worst bet of the year
Good betting advice?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick plunge horses
Money talks - Flemington plunge horses
Money talks - Doomben plunge horses
Money talks - Cheltenham plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 4/10/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Spurcent 32.00 42.40 $1040
Gwendolyn 23.30 28.00 $470
Wild Heart 15.80 19.00 $320
The Almighty One 8.00 10.50 $250


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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