Punt to Win

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11/7/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, July 5.

Rosehill:
Sir Covet - wide run
Ivy League - checked out of the race at the 100
Let's Rip - missed the start, checked
Pearly Kings - held up rounding the home turn
Majestically - no luck in the straight

Flemington:
Dune Warrior - held up early in the straight
Green Pick - checked at the entrance to the straight
Raami Romancer - very wide run, should have won
Enzed - badly checked at the 1200
Infinite Grace - badly held up in the straight, should have won
Love's Here - held up early in the straight
Dame Nellie - making ground, held up late
Lucera - held up in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Comment - Cox Plate admission is over the top
Betting myths - wet tracks
Betting myths - horses dropping back in distance
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Flemington betting tips from the track
Money talks - Sunshine Coast betting tips from the track
Money talks - Cheltenham betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 4/7/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Glefti 18.20 25.70 $750


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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