11/6/2011 edition

Horse Racing Betting Tips
Wagering on Maiden and 1000 Metres Races

Betting on maiden races

Maiden races tend to be very ordinary betting affairs.

You'll invariably find a horse that has failed to win a race from five or more starts being sent out the favourite, even an odds on favourite. It's not our idea of successful betting on horses to take short odds on a horse that is contesting a maiden because it has become a proven non-winner.

Look at Monday, 23rd. May, 2011 at Wangaratta as an example. at Echuca. In the first race of the day, a maiden run over 1000 metres, 4YO gelding Incoming Call was sent out the $3.30 favourite. Incoming Call had already raced 11 times for of course not one win. In the field of nine Incoming Call finished fifth, beaten by nearly eight lengths.

It's also not uncommon to see a favourite in a maiden from a satisfactory barrier like five not having the speed to obtain a position and even with a leading jockey being wide throughout. Of course this ordinary conveyance will then badly weaken and fail to run a place, even as an odds on favourite.

1000 metres races - weight matters

It's quite common to be told by the racing media that weight does not matter in 1000 metres races. For example you might find a classy six year old horse resuming with 60kg. over 1000 metres after a spell of six months. Most likely the horse will show good early speed, but don't be surprised if it weakens out of the race.

Seriously, it is expecting a bit much of a six year old or seven year old with top weight of 60kg. to win first up. If the horse's record indicates that it is superior on dry tracks and it is resuming on a Slow track, then you are really asking for trouble backing it first up with 60kg., even if it is sent out as a favourite.

On Saturday, 21st. April, 8YO gelding Tramuntana, carrying 60.5 kg. at Morphettville over a 1050 metres Open Handicap, was sent out as the $3.50 favourite. Good luck to punters if they want to take $3.50 about an 8YO gelding carrying 60.5 kg. They'll need it. The 8YO gelding finished fourth in the field of 11.

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This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting tips - wagering on maiden & 1000 metres races
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Big Odds Winners Lightly Raced horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields plus Group 1 horse racing results: 4/6/2011
Betting favourites in small fields plus Group 1 horse racing results: 28/5/2011
Betting favourites in small fields plus Group 1 horse racing results: 21/5/2011
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 21/5/2011
Punt to Win index

2010 Melbourne Cup Day
Winners under $10.00
Best Bookmaker Win Odds
Best Tote Odds

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