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8/11/2014
edition
Group 1 Horse Racing Results
Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.
Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.
So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.
Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?
Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.
Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Flemington on Saturday, 1st. November, 2014.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)
Flemington: Track Good.
R4: $500,000 Ascot Vale Stakes. Group 1. 3YO. Set weights.
Distance: 1200 metres.
Field size: 16
Winner: Brazen Beau
Jockey: Joao Moreira
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $9.00
Bookmaker starting price: $8.00
Best tote: $8.80
Second: Delectation - beaten by 1.25 lengths
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $51.00
Favourite: Rich Enuff
Finish: 7th.
Jockey: Michael Rodd
Trainer: Ken Keys
Bookmaker starting price: $2.90 favourite
R6: $1,000,000 Mackinnon Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Weight for Age.
Distance: 2000 metres.
Field size: 14
Winner: Happy Trails
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Paul Beshara
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $8.00
Bookmaker starting price: $7.00
Best tote: $6.00
Second: He's Your Man - beaten by 0.1 lengths
Jockey: Joao Moreira
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $6.00
Favourite: Criterion
Finish: 5th.
Jockey: Corey Brown
Trainer: David Payne
Bookmaker starting price: $5.50 favourite
R7: $1,500,000 Victoria Derby. Group 1. 3YO. Set weights.
Distance: 2500 metres.
Field size: 16
Winner: Preferment
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $8.50
Bookmaker starting price: $8.50
Best tote: $7.80
Second: Bondeiger - beaten by 0.2 lengths
Jockey: James Winks
Trainer: Danny O'Brien
Bookmaker starting price: $11.00
Favourite: Hampton Court
Finish: 8th.
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Bookmaker starting price: $2.45 favourite
R8: $500,000 Empire Rose Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Fillies & Mares. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 16
Winner: Bonaria
Jockey: Michael Rodd
Trainer: Pat Hyland
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $26.00
Bookmaker starting price: $26.00
Best tote: $31.60
Second: Sweet Idea - beaten by 1 length
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Bookmaker starting price: $6.50
Favourite: May's Dream
Finish: 8th.
Jockey: Brad Rawiller
Trainer: Darren Weir
Bookmaker starting price: $4.00 favourite
This edition of Punt to Win:
Flemington 2014 Melbourne Cup free betting advice, tips, odds, betting system & free Melbourne Cup horse racing ratings
The Free Melbourne Cup horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Victoria Derby Day - 1/11/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: Cox Plate Day - 25/10/2014 & Manikato Stakes Day 24/10/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: Caulfield Cup Day - 18/10/2014
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 1/11/2014
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 25/10/2014
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 18/10/2014
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 18/10/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present
You
Need Top Odds
It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.
If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.
It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short
priced tote favourites.
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