Punt to Win

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7/11/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Rosehill and Flemington on Saturday, November 1.

Rosehill:
Rosmarino - no clear run in the straight
Con's Amy - badly held up and shuffled back in the straight
Sir Winalot - ran out wide when rounding the home turn
Ours - badly held up in the straight, should have won
Terrace - no run in the straight
Corporate Queen - held up early in the straight
Dream Beauty - no run in the straight

Flemington:
Tomorrow's Party - checked at the 300
Ta Ta Tatiana - jumped away awkwardly
Infinite Grace - wide run
Lord Volksraad - held up at the 300
Squillani - checked off heels shortly after the jump, checked off heels at the 300
Shogun Lodge - held up at the 200, cost it the race

This edition of Punt to Win:
Makybe Diva wins the Melbourne Cup
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Flemington betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Melbourne Cup Punt to Win
Punt to Win 31/10/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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