7/5/2004 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, May 1.

Caulfield: Track Heavy
R1 $50,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Cargo Cult
Result: second
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
Jockey: Matthew Gatt
Trainer: Colin Alderson
Winner: Classiconi
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.90
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Shane Fliedner

Morphettville: Track Good
R2 $25,000 3YO. Quality. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Dalziel
Result: first
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.40
Jockey: Chris Bryant
Trainer: David Jolly

R3 $50,000 2YO. Listed. Set weights.
Distance: 1531 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Ulysses
Result: first
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Aaron Spiteri
Trainer: Tony McEvoy

This edition of Punt to Win:
Wet track betting tips
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 30/4/2004
Punt to Win index

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