7/2/2015 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 24th. January, 2015.

Randwick: Track Good.

R1 $85,000 2YO. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Haptic
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.20
Top fluctuation: $2.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.10
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: John O'Shea

R2 $85,000 3YO. Rating 72. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Meursault
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $1.95
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: John O'Shea
Winner: Marple Miss
Starting price: $7.00
Top fluctuation: $7.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.50
Jockey: Brenton Avdulla
Trainer: Kris Lees

R3 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Centre Pivot
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.25
Top fluctuation: $2.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.90
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: Sam Kavanagh

R4 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 90. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Inside Job
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Brodie Loy
Trainer: David Pfieffer
Winner: Tahitian Black
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.10
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: David Pfieffer

Here is the result for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 17th. January, 2015.

Randwick: Track Firm.

R1 $85,000 3YO. Rating 72. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Good Project
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.10
Top fluctuation: $2.15
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.10
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Chris Waller

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting value from wagering short priced favourites
The Free Three Lengths horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips & high rated horses membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 31/1/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 24/1/2015 & 17/1/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 17/1/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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