Punt to Win |
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6/9/2002 edition Carnival Horse Racing Spring Carnival racing is well and truly here. Races are already having an early affect on the Cox Plate, Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup betting markets. It is absolutely essential to get genuine value with your bets. Many horses going around as $4.00 favourites in fields of 15 runners are well under their true winning chances. Have a look at some of the horses that went around as beaten favourites last Saturday: Rosehill: Son Of Pegasus - $2.35 in a 3YO Open over 1100 metres. First up. Let's be logical and do a bit of risk analysis. In the field of 10 there were another three first up runners. There were also another three fit, last start winners. $2.35? You've got to be kidding! Fair Embrace - $4.00 lugging 61kg. and first in a Fillies Listed race over 1100 metres. Add a rusty jockey in Simon Marshall to the equation and $4.00 was a shocking price to take in a field of 14. Native Jazz - $3.80 lugging 60kg. and starting from barrier 13 in a Listed 1900 metres race. Time Deposit - $4.60 in a very open field of 14. First up with barrier 12 and the Chris Munce jockey, Gai Waterhouse trainer combination. Often a dangerous combination for punters in our opinion. Clangalang - $4.60 in an open field of 14, a 3YO Group 2 race. The backmarker was always going to need luck. This edition of Punt to Win: Back Tote Longshots?
You Need Top Odds It
is just about impossible to get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and the poor value tote horses to make up for
the big unders on the tote. Short
priced tote favourites Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved. |
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Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk. |