6/6/2009 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Saturday, 23rd. May, 2009, the day the $650,000 Group 1 Doomben 10,000, run over 1350 metres, was held at Doomben.

Randwick: Track Heavy

R1 $70,000 Mares. Rst90. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Lustre Lady
Result: 4th.
Starting price: $2.60
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: John O'Shea
Winner: Visa Lisa
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.40
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Kris Lees

R2 $70,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Sheedy
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.30
Jockey: Peter Wells
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

R6 $70,000 3YO and upward. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Kroner
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.10
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.80
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Bart Cummings

Caulfield: Track Good

R1 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Makeadreamcometrue
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.10
Top fluctuation: $2.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.10
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Robert Smerdon

R5 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Driffield Gold
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.05
Top fluctuation: $2.10
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.00
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Robert Smerdon

Morphettville: Track Good

R2 $25,500 3YO and upward. Rs2ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Road Worker
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Adrian Patterson
Trainer: Roslyn Day

R4 $40,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Electronic Million
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.10
Jockey: Nick Mehmet
Trainer: Heather Frew

There were no races of seven or fewer runners on Saturday, 16th. May, 2009.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Brisbane Winter Carnival horse racing betting tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Special offer: Free racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Get those betting odds
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 30/5/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 23/5/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 16/5/2009
The Duck Egg horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: Queensland Oaks Day - 30/5/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: 23/5/2009 & 16/5/2009.
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 16/5/2009
Punt to Win index

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