Punt to Win

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5/12/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Rosehill and Flemington on Saturday, November 29.

Rosehill:
Bouchette - wide run
Victory Ranger - searched for a run in the straight, should have won
On A High - badly held up and shuffled back through the field in the straight
Athelnoth - held up in the straight
Octennial - held up rounding the home turn and again at the 200

Moonee Valley:
Si Senor - badly missed the jump
Bohemian Dancer - checked at the 300, held up rounding the home turn
Sizzie 'Em - checked on jumping, tightened on the home turn

This edition of Punt to Win:
Tab merger - will larger pools add betting value?
2003 Japan Cup betting odds
System selling pests

Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 28/11/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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