Punt to Win

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5/9/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, August 30.

Rosehill:
Jackman - badly held up and shuffled back in the straight
Sea Sioux - no run in the straight
Studebaker - held up in the straight
Minelli - held up early in the straight
Faith Hill - wide run
Sacred Hill - well back, never got clear in the straight, eased down
Red Hannigan - no clear run in the straight, hard held near the line
Fouardee - held up early in the straight
Gilded Youth - very wide run, covered plenty of extra ground
Handsome Ransom - very wide run, covered plenty of extra ground
Niello - no clear run in the straight
Chosen Light - last, badly held up in the straight
How Funny - checked at the 200
So Assertive - held up early in the straight

Caulfield:
Dual Spark - wide run
Taffeta Miss - held up home turn and early in the straight
Abdullah - raced erratically the last 200
Flash In The Pan - checked at the 500, unbalanced at the 350, held up on the home turn
Vicksburg - inconvenienced early in the straight
Smytzer's Shuffle - worked hard early out wide
She's Archie - raced on the worst going first up

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horses for courses
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 29/8/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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