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5/7/2002 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

Last week we wrote:

" We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 69kg. (70 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more fared last Saturday. The safety vest is not included in the weight.) It's certainly worth thinking about."

In the table below you can also see how the horses carrying 59kg. plus fared this week.

Rosehill
Horse
Weight
SP Odds
Finish
Obsession
59kg.
$8.00
6/12
Recruiting
61.5kg.
$5.50
10/11
Domero
59kg.
$5.50
3/12
Marrakesh Express
60.5kg.
$3.50
11/11
Matter Of Honour
60kg.
$10.00
8/10
Glenrowan
60kg.
$13.00
3/10
Skiddaw
59kg
$8.50
2/12
Flemington
Horse
Weight
SP Odds
Finish
Windigo
61.5kg.
$3.80
5/11

This edition of Punt to Win:
Form analysis and betting odds tips
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill, Flemington, Ipswich plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 28/6/2002
Punt to Win index


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