4/3/2006 edition

Betting Blunder

Lay of the day

What was the 4YO gelding Babinda Half doing being sent out a $1.75 favourite in the fifth at Eagle Farm, a 1000 metres sprint?

Only two weeks earlier Babinda Half won at Eagle Farm over 1350 metres.

Put very simply, how do you expect to get a horse up and running and trained properly to win a race over 1350 metres then back up just two weeks later over the sprint distance of 1000 metres?

Punters fell for it too. They must have used the false logic that if trainer Robert Bradshaw entered Babinda Half in the race then he had the gelding ready to sprint.

It's just not so simple. Punters taking the ridiculous shorts saw Babinda Half lead but then weaken and finish a well beaten second to Algorithm. After all, Babinda Half had to set a faster speed than when leading all the way over 1350 metres. You can't lead all the way over 1000 metres at the same leisurely pace.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Punting tips from the 2006 Blue Diamond Stakes Day meeting
Betting blunder - lay of the day
Get those betting odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill & Caulfield
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 25/2/2006
Punt to Win index

2005 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds?

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