4/2/2005 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, January 29.

Randwick: Track Good

R1 $55,000 3YO. Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Nevis
Result: first
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: David Payne

R4 $150,000 3YO Fillies. Group 2. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Equal Favourite: Trezevant
Result: first
Starting price: $2.90
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.40
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Equal Favourite: One In A Million
Result: second
Starting price: $2.90
Top fluctuation: $3.00
Jockey: Darren Beadman
Trainer: John O'Shea

R5 $150,000 3YO and upward. Group 2. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Our Egyptian Raine
Result: second
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $2.90
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Grahame Begg
Winner: Court's In Session
Starting price: $19.00
Top fluctuation: $19.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $15.80
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Guy Walter

Eagle Farm: Track Good

R3 $25,000 3YO. Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Fleet Baron
Result: third
Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctuation: $2.50
Jockey: Stathi Katsidis
Trainer: Trevor Hardy
Winner: Love And Money
Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.00
Jockey: Jim Byrne
Trainer: Mel Eggleston

Morphettville: Track Good

R1 $20,000 3YO and upwards. Rs2mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Papa Roach
Result: third
Starting price: $2.10
Top fluctuation: $2.10
Jockey: Scott Leckey
Trainer: John Barns
Winner: Rapidfire Lady
Starting price: $9.00
Top fluctuation: $9.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $11.50
Jockey: Simon Price
Trainer: Kylie Huxtable

R3 $26,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2500 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Tiona
Result: third
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.00
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: Ryan Balfour
Winner: Magical Spirit
Starting price: $12.00
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $15.60
Jockey: Darren Holland
Trainer: Julie Schmidt

This edition of Punt to Win:
Tips to win money betting on horses
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Betting tips from the track - Randwick and Flemington
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 28/1/2005
Punt to Win index

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