2/8/2002 edition

Betting Tips
Comment

Another "moral" bites the dust

As the horses were entering the barriers for the first at Cheltenham last Saturday racecaller Hilton Donaldson told us, "I reckon this is a moral the one, Bella Vichy $3.80, $2.90 New South Wales and $3.40 on SuperTab."

A "moral" in our opinion is a horse that should be odds on, and that also means they also should have a winning strike rate of over 50%. Do Hilton Donaldson's "morals" win over 50% of the time?

Hilton Donaldson's "moral", Bella Vichy started at $3.20 with the bookies and finished fifth.

Massive betting ring plunge?

I thought there was a massive plunge gone astray at Randwick when I read a report in The Sunday Telegraph from racing writer Ray Thomas that "the sensationally backed Ramraid ($3.60) could only finish tenth."

Ramraid firmed from $4.00 to $3.60, that's in old prices firming from 3/1 to not even 5/2. Hardly what you would call being "sensationally backed." Maybe a bit of journalistic licence there.

It's like the journalist who was doing an article about our Smartgambler site. Writing about blackjack and card counting he mentioned that card counters get a 10% advantage. When pointed out to him that it was 1% he added, "But 10% sounds better."

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting with tips everyone knows
John Hawkes' - trainers' premiership
Was Shaye Spice a value bet?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Betting tips comment
Two betting tips for value
Trainer watch - up and coming trainer
Money talks - Randwick, Eagle Farm plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 26/7/2002
Punt to Win index

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