2/2/2013 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 19th. January, 2013.

Rosehill: Track Good.

R2 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 79. Handicap.
Distance: 1500 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Kuhreihen
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Christian Reith
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Frozen Rope
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $4.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.30
Jockey: Joshua Parr
Trainer: Adam Duggan

R3 $85,000 3YO & UP. Fillies & Mares. Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: She's Clean
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.30
Jockey: Shaun Guymer
Trainer: Chris Waller

Flemington: Track Dead R1- R2, Good R3 - R8.

R3 $120,000 3YO & UP. Listed. Set weights and penalties
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: First Command
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.65
Top fluctuation: $1.65
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.60
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Anthony Freedman

Eagle Farm: Track Good.

R3 $50,000 Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 2128 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Mr Light Blue
Result: 4th.
Starting price: $2.00
Jockey: Tegan Harrison
Trainer: Barry Baldwin
Winner: Sam's Town
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $6.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.20
Jockey: Ryan Wiggins
Trainer: Robert Heathcote

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting tips - "I guess we just have to take those odds."
The Free Big Dividends Trifecta horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 26/1/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 19/1/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 12/1/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 12/1/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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